Will a therapy that significantly slows or reversed the aging process in domestic animals be developed before 2030?
One-OffGesundheit & MedizinWissenschaft4JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 68.3%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
5. Apr. 23, 04:57 UTC1. Jan. 31, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Meant to be roughly equivalent to this market, but for different species and with a shorter time horizon:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/MatthewBarnett/will-a-therapy-that-substantially-s)A potential therapy with strong scientific support as described in that market would qualify.
- I'd also accept a commercial treatment that bypasses rigorous scientific review, but that has such dramatically obvious health benefits that no one really doubts its efficacy.
- I'm mostly thinking of common household pets here (cats, dogs, parakeets, etc.), but I guess commercial livestock would fit too, if someone actually worked on a therapy targeting those.
- I'll try to resolve by my own best judgment based on any evidence anyone cares to present in the comments.
- Hopefully the answer will be plainly obvious one way or the other by then anyway.
