Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 55%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 50 Minuten
Verzogert16. Aug. 24, 11:56 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which major social media platforms will implement community notes by 2030? (FIXED)
Manifold MarketsWill YouTube surpass Facebook to be the #1 social media platform in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill bots be the dominant population (>50%) on any leading social media platform by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegeln
Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia
- Privacy-preserving proof of personhood = any infrastructure that allows carbon-based Homo sapiens (and no other entities like AIs) prove they're unique individuals without revealing their identity, e.g. something like this
