Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 55%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet16. Aug. 24, 11:56 UTC31. Dez. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a major social media platform allow users to hide AI-generated content in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Twitter-like social media platform will be most popular at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the official Farcaster client (formerly Warpcast) permanently cease as a social media platform by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS bans social media for children in 2026?
KalshiWill the EU require mandatory age verification on social media or AI before 2027?
FutuurUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia
- Privacy-preserving proof of personhood = any infrastructure that allows carbon-based Homo sapiens (and no other entities like AIs) prove they're unique individuals without revealing their identity, e.g. something like this
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 961.071,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 741.910,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 701.281,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 685.821 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 907.202,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 55% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? entschieden?
- Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Major social media platform = ≥100M active users according to Wikipedia