Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027?
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Veraltet6. Aug. 26, 08:03 UTC31. März 27, 23:59 UTC
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tess (@xsphi) on Twitter asks:
- odds a ~frontier model has exfiltrated its weights and is currently running on hacked compute?
- https://x.com/i/status/2085216850464641413
- This seems like a straightforward enough question to run on Manifold.
- As background there have now been four notable incidents where frontier models went rogue during cybersecurity evals and hacked into unintended targets.
- Three of these incidents involved the sandboxing eval company Irregular failing to sandbox the model properly, however a fourth incident involving the UK AI Security Institute does not seem to involve Irregular.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027? entschieden?
- Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a frontier model be found to have exfiltrated its weights and run an outside copy of itself before Q2 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: tess (@xsphi) on Twitter asks: