Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 63.5%
Prognostiker
60
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
14. Sept. 23, 09:08 UTC22. Feb. 29, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will it be harder to get a DCM license than in 2026? // Will a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is inaugurated president in 2028, presumably after winning the electoral college.
- Resolves no if a Republican or third party is inaugurated instead.
