Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 63.5%
Prognostiker
44
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 32 Minuten
12. Sept. 23, 22:06 UTC2. Feb. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if a member of the Democratic Party wins the 2028 presidential elections.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves YES if a democrat wins the postponed elections, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to NO.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf ForecastEx — Will a Republican win the US Presidential Election in 2028? · No 56%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Democratic 65%
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Will a Democrat win the 2028 Presidential Election? · Yes 66%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party · Democrat 62%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? ·