Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 82.8%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet17. Jan. 24, 18:02 UTC1. März 31, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill 50K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill 20K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves as YES if at least 500 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2031.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-e5827a19aecb
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-8b5c5fb5bd63
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-9dad526dc238
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-dfdcca40f9e1
