Manifold MarketsKein KYCAktuelle Community-PrognoseKamala Harris 3.6%Führend unter 61 Optionen
Prognostiker
479
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Tagen
Veraltet18. Aug. 23, 16:142. Feb. 29, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Kamala Harris4%
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
22%
17%
16%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
Gesamtvolumen0 €
24h-Volumen0 €
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in the 2028 US election?
2J
15.3%
2.7%
0.1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose108 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen27.815,9 €
24h-Volumen90,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
2J
1.7%
0.6%
1.1%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose42 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen17.101,6 €
24h-Volumen99,8 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
2J
3.1%
-0.4%19.2%
0.8%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose577 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen483.914,1 €
24h-Volumen1191,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2J
+0.2%3.6%
0.6%
-0.1%1.6%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose1,973 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen1,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen1739,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices)
2J
19.2%
14.8%
13%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose32 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen8565,1 €
24h-Volumen80,4 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
2J
13.8%
3.8%
1.6%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose146 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen64.022,1 €
24h-Volumen89,2 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".