Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 26.8%+0.3ptFührend unter 61 Optionen
Prognostiker
489
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet18. Aug. 23, 16:14 UTC2. Feb. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson win the 2028 United States Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
Manifold MarketsWho will come second at the 2028 United States presidential elections? (Add Responses)
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves to 100% of whoever wins the 2028 presidential election.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later
- Resolves "None" in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed then this market resolves to whoever wins the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to "None".
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Will the 2028 presidential election winner be a millennial? · No 68%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 20%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 18%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 50%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 ·
