Warnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 07.08.2026, 15:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
JD Vance 47.3%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntTraders
3,258
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
24. Feb. 26, 12:357. Nov. 28, 13:00
Trends
Regeln
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - If, by January 20, 2029, the three resolution sources have **not** unanimously called the same winner, the market will resolve based on who is inaugurated as President of the United States. - If any of the three sources retracts, reverses, or updates its projection before unanimity is reached, the market will wait for the next moment when all three agree. - Provisional or partial calls by only one or two outlets will not trigger resolution.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz JD Vance 23% · 7 Plattformen · 5 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
- Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets — Who will be elected President in 2028? (limited choices) · J.D. Vance 19%
- Auch verfügbar auf Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 US Presidential Election: Winner · JVAN 22%
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 23%
- Auch verfügbar auf Smarkets — 2028 Presidential Election Winner · JD Vance 18%
- Auch verfügbar auf Limitless — Presidential Election Winner 2028 · JD Vance 20%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — US Presidential Election Winner in 2028 · Gavin Newsom 28%
- Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 US presidential election? · JD Vance 22%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? · J.D. Vance 19%
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 165,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2 Mio. €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 947.716,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 21,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 468.343,1 €
- Next French Presidential Election
- South Carolina Republican Senate special primary runoff margin of victory?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Ohio Governor winner?
- Oklahoma Republican Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für US Presidential Election Winner 2028?
- Myriad bewertet JD Vance mit 47% (Stand: 25. August 2026).
- Wann wird US Presidential Election Winner 2028 entschieden?
- US Presidential Election Winner 2028 soll am 7. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird US Presidential Election Winner 2028 abgerechnet?
- Myriad rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: ### **Market Dates:**
- Wo wird US Presidential Election Winner 2028 außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Smarkets, Limitless, Futuur, PredictIt, Kalshi gelistet.