Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
JD Vance 48.7%+0.0%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
0 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
-
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
24. Feb. 26, 12:357. Nov. 28, 13:00
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
JD Vance49%
Plattformen vergleichen· JD Vance
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 20% | 0pt | 3,6 Mio. € | 33,3 Mio. € | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Kalshi | 18% | -2pt | 271.846 € | 31,3 Mio. € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Futuur | 15% | -5pt | 262,9 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets | 19% | -1pt | — | — | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 MyriadDiese Seite | 49% | +29pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | |
 Smarkets | 17% | -3pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Limitless | 50% | +30pt | 0 € | 0 € | vor 6 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
2J
0.3%
-0.1%13.5%
0.2%
+42 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose1,006 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen1,1 Mio. €
24h-Volumen74,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Presidential Election Winner 2028
0.2%2J
+0.1%20%
+0.1%14%
12%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen571,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen3,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Smarkets
2028 Presidential Election Winner
6.7%
0.2%
0.2%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen272.887,3 €
24h-Volumen0 €
SMARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Limitless
Presidential Election Winner 2028
2J
50%
50%
50%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen14.637,5 €
24h-Volumen0 €
LIMITLESSAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
0.2%3J
+0.2%1%
1%
0%
+27 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen43,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen271.846 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Futuur
US Presidential Election Winner in 2028
4Mon
15%
15%
14%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
40 • Niedrige QualitätSpread unbekanntNiedrige Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen262,9 €
24h-Volumen262,9 €
FUTUURRegeln
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Will Graham Platner drop out?
2 Mio. €Before Jul 14, 2026: 96%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1,1 Mio. €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Clacton by-election Winner
398.969,9 €Nigel Farage: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Graham Platner drop out by...?
382.105,5 €November 2: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Democratic Senate nominee on Jul 31, 2026?
215.134,8 €Troy Jackson: 48%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
164.044,6 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Ripple, Coinbase among top donors in crypto’s $189 million election spending: reportThe Block
Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.NewsRegeln
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** November 7, 2028 at 1:00 PM UTC, before Election Day begins. - **Resolution Deadline:** By January 20, 2029, or earlier once the outcome is determined by the resolution sources.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **candidate who wins the 2028 U.S.
- Presidential Election**. - If a Candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - The race will be resolved based on **when all three resolution sources — the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC — call the election for the same candidate**. - Once **all three** make the same call, the market immediately resolves to that candidate.
- ### **Resolution Details:**