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Veraltet20. Jan. 25, 00:17 UTC1. Feb. 29, 05:59 UTC
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Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson win the 2028 United States Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRegeln
Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question:
- Was the 2028 United States presidential election free and fair?
- with the answers:
- and the description:
- Even if your answer is too nuanced for a full yes or no, you are encouraged to select the option that is closest to your opinion.
- If (YES votes) / (YES votes + NO votes) ≥ 0.75, this market will resolve YES.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? entschieden?
- Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? soll am 1. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Sometime between January 10, 2029 and January 31, 2029, in whatever timezone I'm in at the time, I will create a poll that ends seven days afterwards that asks the following question: