Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 67.1%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 32 Minuten
17. März 25, 19:17 UTC2. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Brazil's 2026 election be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsIsrael holds free and fair election in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the United States Midterm Elections be free and fair?
Manifold MarketsFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsGuatemalan Congressional election winner?
KalshiBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRegeln
Obviously subjective.
- Any significant restrictions on 2026 voting (e.g., all voting must be in person) will result in this being resolved NO.
- Update 2025-10-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve NO if:
- Representatives-elect are not sworn in to Congress
- An entire state delegation is considered invalid
- Any situation similar to the Representative-elect Adelita Grijalva case occurs