Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther 38.9%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 34 Minuten
26. März 24, 17:01 UTC2. März 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson win the 2028 United States Presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump run in the 2028 United States presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves to whoever comes second at the 2028 presidential election, based on the number of Electoral College votes.
- Remember to bet "Other" if you think there is a substantial probability its someone not yet listed but you don't know who it might be.
- I believe betting for Other gives you free shares for anyone added later.
- Resolves N/A in any case where the United States ceses to exist or if no election is held.
- If the election is postponed, then this market resolves to whoever comes second at the postponed election, unless the election is held in or after 2032, in which case this market resolves to N/A. Also resolves N/A if the 2028 elections only have 1 candidate.