Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Labor 64.7%-0.5ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
27. Jan. 26, 11:02 UTC31. Mai 28, 00:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegeln
Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.
- Only the party of the prime minister is relevant, even if a coalition forms government.
Offene Märkte
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Labor mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? entschieden?
- Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? soll am 31. Mai 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.