Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseMarco Rubio 41%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
31
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet2. März 26, 06:40 UTC2. März 29, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
JD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketJD Vance out as VP before?
Manifold MarketsWill samo burja advise the new JD Vance administration, either with him as VP or president?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be excommunicated by the Catholic Church during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExRegeln
Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.
- Resolves no vice president announcement made if he never announces a vice president before 20 Jan 2029.
- Resolves based on first announcement of a vp pick.
- Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the announced VP even if JD Vance announces a VP during the primary but does not win the nomination.
- Example: Ted Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate before winning the primary.
