Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Marco Rubio 42.2%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet2. März 26, 06:40 UTC2. März 29, 10:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
JD Vance out as VP by which date?
PolymarketJD Vance out as VP before?
Manifold MarketsJD Vance Path to the Presidency 2028
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance win the US Presidential Election in 2028?
ForecastExWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.
- Resolves no vice president announcement made if he never announces a vice president before 20 Jan 2029.
- Resolves based on first announcement of a vp pick.
- Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the announced VP even if JD Vance announces a VP during the primary but does not win the nomination.
- Example: Ted Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate before winning the primary.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will JD Vance announce as his VP??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Marco Rubio mit 42% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will JD Vance announce as his VP? entschieden?
- Who will JD Vance announce as his VP? soll am 2. März 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will JD Vance announce as his VP? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.