Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJan 2027 8.2%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet28. Mai 26, 00:34 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will JD Vance announce as his VP?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill JD Vance assume presidential powers in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which JD Vance ceases to be the Vice President of the United States.
- Sworn in as President: If JD Vance becomes the President of the United States (e.g., due to the death, resignation, or removal of the President), he ceases to be Vice President.
- In this scenario, the market will resolve to the date he is sworn in as President.
- Resignation, Removal, or Death: If JD Vance resigns, is removed from office, is declared permanently disabled under the 25th Amendment, or passes away, the market will resolve to the date that the vacancy officially begins.
- Time Zone: Resolution will use the official calendar date in Eastern Time (ET) when the vacancy or transition takes effect.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — JD Vance out as VP by...? · December 31 6%
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für JD Vance out as VP before??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Jan 2027 mit 8% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird JD Vance out as VP before? entschieden?
- JD Vance out as VP before? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird JD Vance out as VP before? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria
- Wo wird JD Vance out as VP before? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.