Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 18.07.2026, 00:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseRepublicans 55%+2.1ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
62
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Tagen
Veraltet7. Jan. 26, 16:2431. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democrats45%
Plattformen vergleichen· Republicans
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 55% | — | — | — | vor 9 Tagen | |
 PredictIt84% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 61% | — | — | — | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 election?
6Mon
61%
39%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2110. Juli5T Daten18. Juli
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on which party controls the U.S.
- Senate following elections scheduled for November 3, 2026, when 35 of the 100 Senate seats will be contested.
- Control is determined by which party holds a majority of seats (51 or more).
- The Senate currently has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats).
- Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two seats to retain control.