Will the Republicans maintain a majority in the senate after the midterms
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20269T
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 67%
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet25. März 26, 14:44 UTC3. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain house control in 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans maintain control of the US house following the 2026 midterm elections?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi2026 Texas Senate Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Regeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Republicans maintain a majority in the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Currently, Republicans hold 53 seats and Democrats hold 47 (including two independents), with 35 seats up for election—22 held by Republicans and 13 by Democrats.
- Republicans can lose only two seats and retain a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by the official results certified by the Senate following the November 3, 2026 elections, including two special elections in Florida and Ohio.
- Republicans gained majority control of the Senate in the 2024 elections by flipping four Democratic seats.
