Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers??

Manifold Markets bewertet Will not happen before 2030 mit 40.1% (Stand: 22. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers? entschieden?

Who will be the first Twitter/𝕏 user with >= 1 billion followers? soll am 1. Januar 2031 entschieden werden.

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Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Add your answers, please include their current handle.

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POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-279+29.0pt41.8%
• 280-299+24.0pt30.1%
• 240-259-16.0pt12.6%

+23 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

886.291 €

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $78,750 or above98.5%
• $78,500 or above98.5%
• $78,250 or above99.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $76,500 or above+4.0pt98.5%
• $75,000 or above+4.0pt99%
• $75,500 or above

KALSHI

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

• 80,000 to 84,999.99+0.2pt14.8%
• 85,000 to 89,999.99+0.4pt13.6%
• 75,000 to 79,999.99

KALSHI

BNB price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

• $650 or above+6.0pt67.5%
• $695 or above+2.0pt64.5%
• $705 or above+66.0pt

KALSHI

Where will it rain on Oct 22, 2026?

• San Francisco+18.0pt99.5%
• West Palm Beach+46.0pt99.5%
• Los Angeles-11.0pt

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