Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseZ.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company) 79.9%+59.2ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+59.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 22 Minuten
21. Aug. 26, 6:5228. Aug. 26, 6:46
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“Ox Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (August 20, 2026).
- It’s a reasoning model positioned for coding, sustained agentic work, and production use, with a 1,048,576-token context window, a 131,072-token output cap, and text/image/video input — listed as stealth/ox-alpha on OpenRouter.
- It’s free during this preview window, with the operator claiming near-unlimited rate limits and 100 trillion tokens/day of serving capacity.
- There is some buzz on Twitter that it is frontier or even better at coding.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/Sketchy/what-will-the-release-name-of-ox-al?r=U2tldGNoeQ
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 255.550,9 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 143.613,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 130.468,9 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,8 Mio. €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who is behind OX Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Z.ai / Zhipu AI (GLM company) mit 80% (Stand: 21. August 2026).
- Wann wird Who is behind OX Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? entschieden?
- Who is behind OX Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? soll am 28. August 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who is behind OX Alpha, the mysterious new frontier LLM on OpenRouter? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: “Ox Alpha,” an anonymous “stealth” model that appeared on OpenRouter earlier today (August 20, 2026).