Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 12.07.2026, 04:38 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Both/Neither/Unclear 68.9%+3.6ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Tagen
Veraltet8. Juli 26, 21:0731. Mai 29, 22:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
SpaceX15%
Volumentrend
$2508. Juli5T Daten12. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
109,8 €Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 95.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen to OpenAI by 1st January 2029
42,2 €It IPOs at an IPO Price that gives a $1trillion or higher valuation: 60.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6176 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4456 €SpaceX: 87%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI data center in space by ?
0 €December 31, 2027: 15%FUTUUR
FUTUURIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.
- Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.
- Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.
- Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.