Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Both/Neither/Unclear 68.9%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juli 26, 21:07 UTC31. Mai 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX announce any sort of deal with Russia or China before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.
- Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.
- Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.
- Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.
Offene Märkte
Sports
KALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic58.2%
- Koki Matsuda+7.0pt41.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,5 Mio. €
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Joaquin Niemann+18.7pt19.5%
- Rory McIlroy11%
- Jon Rahm-1.4pt5.1%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,4 Mio. €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R-1.0pt14%
- Buffalo+1.0pt7.9%
- Seattle-1.0pt6.1%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 78 Mio. €
KALSHITampa Bay vs Atlanta
- Atlanta-3.0pt50.5%
- Tampa Bay+2.0pt49.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
KALSHIFenerbahce vs Roma
- Roma-6.0pt40.4%
- Tie+9.0pt37.4%
- Fenerbahce-7.0pt22.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHISan Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- Los Angeles R64.4%
- San Francisco35.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
- FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt
- Trevisan vs Maristany Zuleta de Reales
- Manchester United vs Sabah Masazir
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- Eindhoven vs Shakhtar
- Tampa Bay vs Atlanta: Total Runs
- Lagutin vs Alcala Gurri
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Bayern Munich vs Bodoe/Glimt
- MVP Winner?
- US Open Men's Singles Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Both/Neither/Unclear mit 69% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? entschieden?
- Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? soll am 31. Mai 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.