Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 65.7%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juli 26, 20:40 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketQwen market share this week
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if, before 2028, Anthropic and Meta enter a binding agreement in which Anthropic buys or leases compute capacity or cloud/inference services from Meta.
- Any deal size counts, but it must be a signed commercial agreement, not talks, an LOI, or "exploring."
- Anthropic merely using a third-party cloud that itself rents from Meta does NOT count.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 93.738,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 59.491 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.772,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32.328,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027? entschieden?
- Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if, before 2028, Anthropic and Meta enter a binding agreement in which Anthropic buys or leases compute capacity or cloud/inference services from Meta.