Which Trump 2028 Term prediction category will Manifold perform best relative to Nate Silver?
US-PolitikOne-Off3JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseConstitutionality (1 of 10 Resolved, Manifold -0.28 (Better) Brier) 13.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet18. März 25, 15:21 UTC16. Feb. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Originally from this Article:
- https://www.natesilver.net/p/113-predictions-for-trumps-second
- Overall Competition:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/trumps-second-term-will-manifold-ou?play=true)That question (and this question) uses the time locked percentages from Manifold which was two weeks after Nates' article was published (and is why some questions are excluded).
- Spreadsheet Used For Tracking
- Live Manifold Tracking Market of Individual Questions:
