Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBaby Jane Doe is referenced or appears in at least one episode 76.4%Führend unter 5 Optionen
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3
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multiple choice
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7d-Änderung
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Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet9. Mai 26, 18:48 UTC15. Jan. 27, 19:44 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Each option resolves YES or NO based on what is depicted on screen by the Season 3 finale.
- Resolution source: aired episodes on Max.
- Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the answer "the named outcome": formal mental health treatment means Robby is shown or confirmed to have seen a mental health professional (therapist, psychiatrist, or counselor) during his sabbatical.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
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- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which of the following will be true in Season 3 of The Pitt??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Baby Jane Doe is referenced or appears in at least one episode mit 76% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which of the following will be true in Season 3 of The Pitt? entschieden?
- Which of the following will be true in Season 3 of The Pitt? soll am 15. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which of the following will be true in Season 3 of The Pitt? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Each option resolves YES or NO based on what is depicted on screen by the Season 3 finale.