Which of Sabine Hossenfelder's predictions from "What will they think about us in 2085?" will be right?
KI
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Supersonic planes will make a comeback by 2085 69.7%Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet30. Juni 24, 02:34 UTC31. Dez. 25, 13:29 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about US government shutdown? [ADD ANSWERS/PROP BETS]
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true about at least one US president elected before 2050?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
Sabine Hossenfelder makes her predictions for the future in her latest video "What will they think about us in 2085?"
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/fdqNJo6JScA)I've tried to summarize and fairly represent Sabine's predictions but I'm definitely open to any changes that might need to be made.
- Most predictions specified a year but for the monogamy/polyamory one and the drone deliveries one she just said "soon".
- For any other predictions with no time frame I've just assumed 2085.
- A asked Claude 3.5 Sonnet for some quantifiable metrics for each prediction and they seemed like a good start.
- Would be really interested if Sabine would sign off on these: