Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 19.07.2026, 16:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025 100%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vorgestern
Veraltet28. Okt. 24, 14:201. Jan. 29, 4:59
Trends
100%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Long-duration flight test in Q3 or Q4 202610%
Volumentrend
$75016. Juli4T Daten19. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
How far will my tech startup NiceGit progress by July 2026?
0 €Beta launch with >100 non-paying users: 72%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat organization will be the first to create AGI?
177,9 €OpenAI: 24.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will happen during Claude Opus 4.7 Plays Pokemon?
121,2 €Defeats Surge before step 5,969: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center in space by ?
0 €December 31, 2027: 15%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?
0 €Ja: 10%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
1641,4 €Chainlink (LINK): 35%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Based on https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/10/spacex-has-caught-a-massive-rocket-so-whats-next/
- [link preview]I substituted quarters for the vague "early", "mid", "late" phrasing and gave each prediction at least a six-month window.
- All options refer to the first time a given milestone happens after market creation.
- Too early = NO.
- Added clarifications:
- Starship second stage landing on land: Should be a soft landing/catch where it stays upright and doesn't immediately explode.