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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Space
  3. Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?
Manifold Markets

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

One-OffSpaceWissenschaft6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
March 2026 0.4%
Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker

11

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Tagen

Veraltet
19. Jan. 26, 3:0930. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

June 20261%

Regeln

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
  • The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
  • Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
  • Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
  • The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,865.79+2.75%EthereumETH$1,658.57+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.32+2.25%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.97%XRPXRP$1.12+0.96%BNBBNB$596.60+2.06%

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Regeln

Resolution Criteria

Manifold Markets
  • Blue Moon Mk 1 Pathfinder is set to launch no earlier than early 2026, with the lander expected to touch down near the Shackleton crater at the Moon's south pole.
  • The market resolves to the month in which Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully lands on the lunar surface.
  • Resolution will be determined by official Blue Origin announcements and NASA confirmation of a successful landing.
  • Successful landing is defined by the spacecraft transmitting data from the surface.
  • The mission will demonstrate critical systems, including the BE-7 engine, cryogenic fluid power and propulsion systems, avionics, continuous downlink communications, and precision landing with an accuracy within 100 meters.