Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026?
10.1 Pkt. (24h)KIYearly3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseGPT (OpenAI) 78.3%+10.1ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+11.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet21. Nov. 25, 2:0231. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Regeln
Resolves to whoever releases a model with the highest version number in the name, including sub-versions, by the end of 2026.
- Doesn’t count if someone releases a model with a number that isn’t a version number. “Grok 69” would not count. “GPT-6-preview” would count.
- The model must be publicly accessible.
- If there’s a tie, resolves evenly split among tied companies.
- Update 2025-11-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Version number comparison: If there is ambiguity in comparing version numbers (e.g., 5.9 vs 5.11), the creator will ask each model how to resolve the market and resolve to the average of their opinions.
Offene Märkte
AI
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+8 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-4.0pt59.2%
- ChatGPT-1.3pt24.3%
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+5 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETGPT-6 released by which date?
- October 31,+9.1pt100%
- November 30,+6.8pt100%
- December 31,+5.5pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
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- September 4+27.7pt37%
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- Claude-10.0pt76.5%
- ChatGPT+5.0pt16.7%
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+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 149.225,9 €
KALSHIWhen will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Before Sep 16, 2026+14.0pt99%
- Before Oct 1, 2026+9.0pt99%
- Before Nov 1, 2026+6.0pt99%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet GPT (OpenAI) mit 78% (Stand: 3. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? entschieden?
- Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which AI model series will reach the highest version number by 12/31/2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to whoever releases a model with the highest version number in the name, including sub-versions, by the end of 2026.