Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
KIManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Google (99%)
Entschieden: 01.12.2025, 00:06
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
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Aktuelle Community-PrognoseGoogle 99%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
69
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 199 Tagen
Veraltet8. Aug. 25, 22:1730. Nov. 25, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
OpenAI0%
xAI0%
Anthropic0.9%
Google99%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot AI0%
Other0%
99%
0.9%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of November 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-5Ch5LQddE5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-96p0nLU5A5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-QcqLtdnQnN)@/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS
- @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer@/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo
Offene Märkte
AI
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-0.1pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 729.340,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 59.136,5 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- October 31,83%
- October 15,-4.5pt49%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.1pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-5.0pt66%
- ChatGPT+3.9pt13%
- Grok-1.0pt10%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,9 Mio. €
GEMINIBTC price on August 22
- $77,000 or above97.5%
- $76,250 or above95%
- $76,500 or above91%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37.028,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 37.028,6 €
KALSHIOpenAI market share this week
- Above 17%+4.0pt99%
- Above 18%+16.0pt99%
- Above 16%+1.0pt99%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- BMW Championship Winner
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best AI this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- XRP price on August 22
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Toronto vs New York Y
- XRP price on August 31
- Xiaomi market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Google mit 99% (Stand: 4. Februar 2026).
- Wann wird Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) entschieden?
- Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) soll am 30. November 2025 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of November 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.