Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 23.10.2026, 07:50 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseTampa, FL 100%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet3. Okt. 26, 00:36 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PolymarketWhere will Waymo operate before 2028?
KalshiWhere will Waymo be available in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many countries will Waymo operate in on January 1 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 23, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwaymocity/waymo-new-city/kxwaymocity-26dec
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.