Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 14.07.2026, 21:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseMiami 100%Führend unter 19 Optionen
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Tagen
Veraltet1. Dez. 25, 22:2531. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Berkeley40%
Plattformen vergleichen· Miami
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Niedrig | 89% | — | 15,4 € | 25.636,9 € | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 100% | — | — | — | vor 12 Tagen |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
4.0 pts5Mon
89%
-3.0pt85%
-4.0pt80%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
49 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen45.227,3 €
24h-Volumen15,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$28213. Juli2T Daten14. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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KALSHI
Elon Musk # tweets July 21 - July 28, 2026?
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POLYMARKET
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POLYMARKETBTC price on Jul 31, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
331.490,4 €$65,000 or above: 59%KALSHI
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POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.