When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering?
TechnikOne-Off18JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore January 2040 10.4%Führend unter 15 Optionen
Prognostiker
109
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet23. Nov. 23, 18:10 UTC1. Jan. 45, 19:59 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By what year will we know that any past UFO/UAP was really Alien technology?
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsIf EY loses his bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin, what are the reasons why? [INDEPENDENT MC]
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegeln
See previously:
- @/Joshua/by-what-year-will-we-know-that-any
- @/Joshua/will-eliezer-yudkowsky-win-his-1500
- This is an unlinked market, so that each time period can resolve NO independently, or they can resolve YES all together.
- It also includes meta-options about the other options.
- An answer resolves NO if it arrives without there being proof of a UFO/UAP from before market creation having a worldview-shattering origin such as aliens, time-travelers, interdimensional travelers, secret superintelligence made by ancient humans, biblical demons, etc.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
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- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before January 2040 mit 10% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? entschieden?
- When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? soll am 1. Januar 2045 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will we know that any past UFO was really Aliens, or anything Worldview-Shattering? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: See previously: