Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2030 33.1%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet1. Okt. 25, 13:26 UTC1. Jan. 27, 14:22 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will I get my "BritCard" ID?
Manifold MarketsThe anti-vax market: Which vaccines become less available in the US, 2025-2026
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
PolymarketWill the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.
- This market resolves YES for every outstanding year if reliable reports come in of at least 1000 such ID cards being issued which are not part of a proof of concept trial.
- Otherwise each option will resolve NO on the 1st of January of the relevant year.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 617.449 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 821.515,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.747,7 €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before 2030 mit 33% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? entschieden?
- When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will UK's "BritCard" ID first become available? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The UK Government are preparing to launch a digital ID card, nicknamed BritCard, to combat illegal workers.