Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2028-01-01 95.5%Führend unter 32 Optionen
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet6. Juni 24, 17:44 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill MMX successfully land on Phobos?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship successfully land for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegeln
In June 2024 SpaceX demonstrated successful descent for both first and second stages of the Starship rocket.
- The potential next stage would be to try to land one or both stages.
- This market will resolve positively as soon as SpaceX manages to land the second stage of Starship rocket after an orbital or suborbital flight.
- The spacecraft has to be landed on land and in one piece.
- It should presumably be captured by the launch tower, but other ways of landing on land or on a barge would also qualify.
- The rocket can sustain some damage, but the payload has to stay intact.
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before 2028-01-01 mit 96% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? entschieden?
- When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: In June 2024 SpaceX demonstrated successful descent for both first and second stages of the Starship rocket.