Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2028-01-01 90.9%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet18. März 25, 21:27 UTC1. Jan. 28, 06:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will SpaceX successfully land Starship for the first time?
Manifold MarketsWill MMX successfully land on Phobos?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship successfully deploy its payload during Flight 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin's first Blue Moon HLS mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES for all time ranges before which there is a flight in which Starship and its booster both successfully land.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
- Primary source: The result will resolve based on a consensus of news media reports.
- Secondary source: If there is no news media consensus, the resolution will follow SpaceX's statement.
- Fallback: In the absence of a clear statement from SpaceX, the resolution will be based on a personal assessment: whether both the booster and Starship appear to have landed and remain undamaged.
- Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Landing Site Clarification:
