Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 15:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
2027 37.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet19. Apr. 24, 11:39 UTC1. Jan. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By the year 2040, will the US military integrate a bipedal humanoid robot, similar to Boston Dynamics' Atlas, into its arsenal?
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Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot set foot on Mars before a biological human does?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve based on the earliest date that Boston Dynamics begins selling their new Atlas humanoid robot (or a direct descendant of the Atlas design) to customers at scale, meaning either:
- They have started accepting orders for Atlas-based robots from 10 or more distinct customers, OR
- They have received cumulative orders for 1,000 or more Atlas-based robot units, regardless of the number of customers, OR
- They have publicly listed an order form with pricing information for Atlas-based robots on their official website, indicating the robots are available for purchase by customers.
- For the purposes of this market, "distinct customers" means separate legal entities, not individuals within an organization.
- The start of sales must be confirmed by an official Boston Dynamics source such as a press release, company blog post, statement by a company executive, or the public availability of an order form with pricing on their website.
