Aktuelle Community-Prognose
In 2033 or earlier 29.1%Führend unter 10 Optionen
In 2033 or earlier 29.1%Prognostiker
18
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 24, 07:23 UTC2. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?
Manifold MarketsMusk, Zuck, or Bezos physically fight someone in space anytime through 2031
Manifold MarketsWhat would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)
Manifold MarketsHow Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegeln
The market will resolve positively when any Manifold question or comment is posted by a human user who at the time is located in space, i.e. above Karman line, 100 km above the Earth surface.
- Both orbital and suborbital flights qualify.
- The account posting the question or comment has to be tied to a real person of whom it is publicly known that they were in space at the time.
- If you are in space right now, please leave a comment under this question, this will simplify the resolution.
- If I happen to fly to space while this question is not yet resolved, I will attempt to do it there.
- I do not bet on my own questions.