Aktuelle Community-Prognose
No Movie by 1 Jan 2036 21.6%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet6. Apr. 26, 09:14 UTC1. Jan. 36, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Hollywood release an Iran F-15E rescue mission movie by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a space rescue mission before 2035?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as the calendar year of the first theatrical or major streaming (Netflix/HBO/Apple) release of a feature-length scripted film primarily based on the April 2026 F-15E shoot-down and rescue in Iran.
- Documentaries and short films do not count.
- If multiple movies are released in different years, the market resolves to the year of the first release.