Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocrat 78.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 26, 23:51 UTC2. Jan. 28, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWhat will John Fetterman’s official party affiliation and caucus situation be on 1 July 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman complete his term as Senator from Pennsylvania?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman stop being senator before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
KalshiPennsylvania mail voters: party registration margin?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves to a single winning option based on John Fetterman's official voter registration or his officially declared U.S. Senate party affiliation at 12:00 PM (Noon) ET on January 1, 2028.
- Resolves via official U.S. Senate roster records or verified major news reporting of his PA voter registration.
- This market is strictly about his registration label.
- If he registers as an Independent but continues to caucus with the Democrats, it resolves to the named outcome.
- The "the named outcome" option triggers if he registers as Unaffiliated, Independent, or with any third party (e.g., Forward, Libertarian, Green).
