KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
D+8 or more · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
D+8 or more 73%Führend unter 8 Optionen
D+8 or more 73%Marktqualitat
46 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
1110,8 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
D+8 or moreSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
24. Sept. 26, 21:00 UTC4. Nov. 26, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · D+8 or more
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiRegeln
If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 8 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:University of Florida Election Lab
- The value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the "Percent" column of the "Total Voted by Party Registration" table on the North Carolina page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. Total Voted includes in-person early votes and returned mail ballots. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the voteddem, votedrep and voted_none values for North Carolina in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- D+8 or more
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 8 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+6 to D+7.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 6 and 7.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+2 to D+3.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 2 and 3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+4 to D+5.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 4 and 5.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- R+4 or more
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- R+2 to R+3.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between -3.9 and -2 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- R+0.1 to R+1.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between -1.9 and -0.1 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+0 to D+1.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 0 and 1.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.