KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jan 1, 2028 44.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Before Jan 1, 2028 44.5%Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
236,1 €
Open Interest
35.728 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jan 1, 2028Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
6. Mai 26, 23:00 UTC3. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jan 1, 2028
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItJohn Fetterman out by which date?
PolymarketWho will John Fetterman endorse or suggest voting for in the Maine senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman endorse a Republican before election day?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic primary for PA Senate Seat?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Fox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesThe Washington PostAxiosCNNReutersthe Associated PressPoliticoOffice of the Clerk of the U.S. House of RepresentativesBloomberg NewsNBCthe Secretary of the Senate
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Aug 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If John Fetterman announces they are leaving party (or are no longer caucusing with them in the Senate) before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.