Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocrat 60%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet2. Sept. 26, 19:41 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
Manifold MarketsIf the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Dakota?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in South Carolina?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kentucky?
PredictItWhich party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Illinois?
PredictItRegeln
Republican: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Republican Party wins the presidency.
- Democrat: Resolves YES if the nominee of the Democratic Party wins the presidency.
- Third-Party: Resolves YES if any candidate who is not the nominee of the Republican or Democratic Party (including Independents, Libertarians, Green Party candidates, etc.) wins the presidency.
- If the election is delayed, the market will remain open until the election is resolved.
- If the election is canceled, or the office of the President is abolished or structured such that there is no single winning candidate, the market will resolve as N/A.
