Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Democratic Party 64.9%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet16. Jan. 26, 11:26 UTC1. Jan. 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold Markets“Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”
Manifold MarketsWill a major 2028 Democratic presidential candidate propose creating a Cabinet-level department to deal with AI risk?
Manifold MarketsWill Tim Walz be the Presidential or Vice Presidential candidate for the Democrats in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
PolymarketWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The 2028 U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028.
- The market resolves to whichever party the winning candidate is affiliated with at the time of their victory.
- Resolution will be determined by the official Electoral College results and the candidate's party affiliation as recorded by the Federal Election Commission and major news outlets.
- The "Other" category should only resolve yes if a candidate from a party other than Democratic, Republican, or Independent wins the presidency.
- I WILL bet in this market.
