Aktuelle Community-Prognose
No Democrat wins 35%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet27. Dez. 25, 19:29 UTC31. Dez. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be on the winning U.S. presidential ticket (President + VP) in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat Party will the Winning 2028 Presidential Candidate be?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold Markets2028 US Presidential Election: Winning Party
Robinhood (Rothera)Presidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves to the Democratic nominee who wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.
- If the Democratic nominee does not win the election, the market resolves to “the named outcome.”
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?”?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No Democrat wins mit 35% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” entschieden?
- “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird “Which candidate has the best chance of winning the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election as the Democratic nominee?” abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves to the Democratic nominee who wins the 2028 U.S. presidential election.