Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Tim Scott 13.1%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet16. März 26, 05:17 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 10% of Americans identify as LGBT before the end of 2026, according to Gallup?
Manifold MarketsWill Tor Parsons (Tor's Cabinet of Curiosities) publicly come out as trans by EoY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Connor Storrie come out as gay or bisexual by December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf I come out as nonbinary, will it go well?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Polymarket8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if that person publicly comes out as LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or other non-heterosexual/non-cisgender identity) at any point during 2026.
- Resolution requires a public statement or credible media reporting of such a disclosure by the individual themselves or their official representatives.
- Rumors, speculation, or third-party allegations do not constitute resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO for any answer where no such public disclosure occurs by December 31, 2026.
- While just 15 percent of queer people registered to vote self-identify as Republican, there is a documented history of closeted conservative politicians.
