Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Tim Scott 13.1%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet16. März 26, 05:17 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Improve my gains? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWho will win the NY-12 Congressional District (add answers!)
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiWho will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for each answer if that person publicly comes out as LGBT (lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender, or other non-heterosexual/non-cisgender identity) at any point during 2026.
- Resolution requires a public statement or credible media reporting of such a disclosure by the individual themselves or their official representatives.
- Rumors, speculation, or third-party allegations do not constitute resolution criteria.
- The market resolves NO for any answer where no such public disclosure occurs by December 31, 2026.
- While just 15 percent of queer people registered to vote self-identify as Republican, there is a documented history of closeted conservative politicians.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Tim Scott mit 13% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers) entschieden?
- What conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers) soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What conservatives will come out as LGBT in 2026? (Add Answers) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria