Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 93.1%
Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet26. März 23, 11:07 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIn which decade will China's GDP surpass US GDP?
Manifold MarketsWill Canadas overall fertility rate increase in the next decade?
Manifold MarketsEV market share in 2030?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegeln
Stanley Druckenmiller (famous trader) said this in an interview (14:20) (recorded mid-year 2022)
- We've had a hurricane behind us for 30 or 40 years and now it's reversing, and I won't be surprised, in fact it's my central thesis that in 10 years the dow [jones industrial average] won't be much higher than it is today.
- So he seems pretty confident.
- Mid-year 2022 DJI price: 3100.
- 'A little higher': +20% = 3720
- YES = DJI < 3720 on July 1st 2032
Offene Märkte
SportsKALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle-1.0pt5.7%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 77,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3,4 Mio. €
KALSHIInoue vs Adkar
- Hina Inoue99%
- Vaishnavi Adkar1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,8 Mio. €
KALSHIAmgen Irish Open Winner
- Rory McIlroy+1.0pt14%
- Jon Rahm-0.2pt8%
- Tyrrell Hatton-0.5pt5%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHISekulic vs Matsuda
- Philip Sekulic93.1%
- Koki Matsuda6.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Bayern Munich+1.0pt15.1%
- Arsenal-1.0pt13.2%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- 1 Winner100%
- 2 Winner100%
- Match Winner100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1 Mio. €
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles R
- MVP Winner?
- Nflgame 26 SEP 09 Nesea
- MLB: Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers (Sep 9, 2026)
- Ogura vs Hong
- Amgen Irish Open End of Round 1 Leader
- San Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
- NFL 2026-27: Champion
- Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
- US Open Women's Singles Winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für We're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird We're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032) entschieden?
- We're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032) soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird We're in an economically stagnant decade (2022-2032) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Stanley Druckenmiller (famous trader) said this in an interview (14:20) (recorded mid-year 2022)