Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Between 3.21 mm to 3.7 mm 46.5%Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
2654,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätTrader
23
Kommentare
2
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will (global average) sea level rise by more than 1.1 meters (as predicted by the IPCC) by 2100 ?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be Argentina's average annual real GDP growth during the presidency of Javier Milei?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the presidency in 2028 and will average annual Real GDP growth be MORE or LESS than 2.8% during their term?
Manifold MarketsWill the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
Manifold MarketsHighest sea level in San Diego this winter?
PolymarketWill NASA report the Global Mean Sea Level as greater than 107.5 mm above the 1993 baseline on December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) gathers every six years all the existing scientific literature in the field of climate and publishes a document that presents the global consensus on the effects of human activity on global warming.
- In 2021, the sixth report brought a series of data and forecasts for the coming decades.
- With high confidence, the report observed that the oceans are rising more and more, nearing 4.2 mm per year.
- It also takes for granted that such levels will continue to rise, with the possibility of reaching up to 1.01 m by the end of the century, in the worst-case scenario.
- The next IPCC is expected to take place in 2028 and will reveal whether the rise in sea levels was more or less intense that what had been predicted in 2021.
- The alternative that contains the average annual rise in sea level between 2021 and 2027 will be considered the winning outcome of this market.
