Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.1%
Prognostiker
56
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Stunden
Veraltet28. Jan. 26, 03:18 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump Die before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Trump Die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Biden OR Trump die in 2026?
Manifold MarketsScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketWill the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump dies before January 1, 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Trump is alive on January 1, 2027.
- Trump is currently 79 years old and will turn 80 this year.
- Trump's 2018 coronary CT calcium scan score indicates he has coronary artery disease.