Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDecember 31 39.9%Führend unter 28 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet15. Jan. 26, 15:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:32 UTC
Trends
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Trump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Insurrection Act be invoked by the US government in 2026?
FutuurTrump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?
PolymarketWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
KalshiWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act during his second term?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — Insurrection Act invoked by...? · December 31 14%
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.6pt51.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+35.5pt47.5%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2097%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.319,7 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.050,7 €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Fed Decision in October?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date??
- Manifold Markets bewertet December 31 mit 40% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? entschieden?
- Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: All answers end at 11:59 PM ET on each listed date.
- Wo wird Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.