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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Politik
  3. Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?

1.0% (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitik6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2027
Before 2027 15%-1.0%
Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

6,4 €

Liquidität

1643,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

15.0% / 16.0%

Spread

6.7%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

3. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Before May 2026
Before May 2026
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before 202715%

Regeln

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.