KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore 2027 23%
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
3845 €
Liquidität
135.492,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
22.0% / 23.0%
Spread
4.5%
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
3. Jan. 26, 15:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before 202723%
Volumentrend
$4.4k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
107.831,3 €August 31: 60%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by which date?
16.639,6 €August 31: 13%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
7747,4 €Yulia Navalnaya: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
873,5 €$0 / No Acquisition: 81%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will any US state secede before 2050?
659,2 €Ja: 21.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
454,1 €Ja: 2.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of the United States has invoked the Insurrection Act to deploy the United States military and/or the federalized National Guard within the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.