PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 31 21%+16.0%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
108.488,9 €
Liquidität
49.992,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
20.0% / 21.0%
Spread
5.0%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+11.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
22. Juni 26, 19:4031. Juli 26, 23:59
Trends
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 3121%
Große Trades
$1.3k80.0%Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? — Nonickthechoppervor 2 Std.
Volumentrend
$123.8k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
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On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a memorandum of understanding ending the immediate conflict and establishing a 60-day framework for negotiating a final agreement.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces its termination of participation in the negotiation process toward the final agreement contemplated by the June 14, 2026 MOU between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A termination means a definitive end to the United States' participation in the negotiation process as a whole.
- A temporary suspension, pause, or adjournment of negotiations, however open-ended or indefinite, does not constitute a termination unless it is itself clearly and unambiguously framed as a definitive end to participation.
- A conditional withdrawal, in which the United States announces it is ending participation subject to or contingent on any future event or condition, does not constitute termination.