If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl5JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseMarco Rubio 17.1%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet26. Juni 26, 21:41 UTC20. Jan. 32, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Insurrection Act be invoked next presidential term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsInsurrection Act invoked by which date?
PolymarketWill the Insurrection Act be invoked by the US government in 2026?
FutuurWill Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?
KalshiTrump invokes Insurrection Act by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsTrump invokes the Insurrection Act by the following date?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if this person became president of the United States after the 2028 US election, and the insurrection act is invoked by January 21st 2032 (the point at which their term would expire per the Constitution).
- Resolves NO if they were elected president and it isn't invoked.
- Resolves N/A if they weren't president at any time (winning the election but not being inaugurated also resolves N/A for that person, and YES/NO for whoever actually becomes president).
- If they resign and the Insurrection Act is invoked in this interval, still resolves YES (e.g. if they resign, their VP becomes president, and their VP invokes it).
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 621.591,2 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 19,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 488.821,4 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Marco Rubio mit 17% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032? entschieden?
- If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032? soll am 20. Januar 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if this person became president of the United States after the 2028 US election, and the insurrection act is invoked by January 21st 2032 (the point at which their term would expire per the Constitution).